Brewers, Bucs resume series between slumping clubs

Baseball Betting Lines

07/10/2010 - (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - Right-hander Dave Bush can beat his hometown team for the second time this season when the Milwaukee Brewers host the Pittsburgh Pirates tonight in the middle game of a three-game series at Miller Park.

The Brewers won Friday's opener in dramatic fashion, scoring a run in the eighth and ninth innings to tie the contest before claiming a 5-4 decision in 10 frames. Ryan Braun lined an opposite-field single over Ryan Church's head in right field to score Rickie Weeks with the game-winning run for Milwaukee.

Braun, who earlier in the game snapped out of an 0-for-19 slump, came up with runners on first and second and two outs in the 10th after Evan Meek (4-3) intentionally walked Prince Fielder. He then struck the game-winning hit to end Milwaukee's five-game slide, with Weeks scoring without a play at the plate.

Fielder added a solo homer and Corey Hart had a two-run blast in the win, which was credited to John Axford (4-1) after he struck out Pedro Alvarez and Ryan Doumit to strand a runner on third in the top of the 10th.

Doug Davis, in his first start since May 10, surrendered four runs on seven hits and three walks over five innings for Milwaukee. His counterpart, Paul Maholm, held the Brewers to two runs on three hits and a pair of walks in a seven-inning no-decision.

Andrew McCutchen went 2-for-5 with a home run and two RBI for the Pirates, losers of four straight overall. Lastings Milledge added two hits, including a solo homer.

Bush, a 30-year-old veteran of 178 major-league appearances, beat the Pirates on April 20 in Pittsburgh by allowing just three hits in seven scoreless innings. The win raised his career mark against Pittsburgh - where he was born in November of 1979 - to 4-4 in 13 appearances and lowered his earned run average against the Pirates to 4.40 in 73 2/3 innings.

More recently, Bush has gone two starts since his last win, an 8-3 downing of Seattle on June 25. He's since lost to Houston and gotten a no-decision against San Francisco while giving up just three runs in 10 hits in 12 innings.

Bush is 1-4 with a 4.47 over nine starts in Milwaukee this season.

For the Pirates, California-born right-hander Jeff Karstens makes his eighth career appearance against the Brewers while still seeking his first win.

An ex-New York Yankees farmhand, Karstens tossed 6 2/3 innings of two-run ball against Milwaukee in his initial appearance of 2010 and added two-thirds of an inning of scoreless relief in a subsequent matchup on May 20. He got no- decisions in both games and is 0-1 with a 3.45 ERA in 28 2/3 overall innings against the Brewers.

His last victory came June 19 in an interleague matchup with Cleveland. Since then, Karstens is 0-1 with a pair of no-decisions while giving up 23 hits and 11 runs in 17 1/3 innings. He's 0-3 in nine road games this season.

Milwaukee has won six of its nine matchups with the Pirates this season and is 29-9 against the Bucs since the start of the 2008 campaign.

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FOOTBALL BETTING : Crabtree's base deal: six years, $32 million

Football Betting

In the wake of the news that the 49ers have signed receiver Michael Crabtree after an extended holdout, there has been not a hint of the dollars to be paid to Crabtree.

And since this means that his agent hasn't leaked the numbers, it means that his agent feels no specific motivation to do so.

Possibly because his agent isn't all that thrilled to have his name on the deal.

So the numbers will come from sources other than Crabtree's agent. And we've gotten our mitts into them.

Per a league source, Crabtree has signed a six-year, $32 million contract. (The total includes guaranteed money, base salaries, and the one-time incentive based on achieving minimum playing time.)

The deal also includes $17 million in guaranteed money.

As reported elsewhere, the deal can void to five years based on performance triggers, wiping out a final year base salary of $4 million. But they won't be easily reached.

The source tells us that, in his first four seasons (including 2009), Crabtree must either qualify for two Pro Bowls, or he must qualify for one Pro Bowl in one year and he must participate in 80 percent of the offensive snaps in a separate year in which the team makes the playoffs.

In other words, if in 2010 he qualifies for the Pro Bowl and the team makes the playoffs and he participates in 80 percent of the snaps, he'll still need to make it to the Pro Bowl or achieve the 80-percent/playoffs in another season.

Since the chances of Crabtree making the Pro Bowl or participating in 80 percent of the offensive snaps this year is roughly zero percent, he'll have three years to get it done.

And it won't be easy. Frankly, he'll be hard pressed to make it to one Pro Bowl in three years with the likes of Larry Fitzgerald, Calvin Johnson, Anquan Boldin, Steve Smith, the other Steve Smith, Hakeem Nicks, DeSean Jackson, Johnny Knox, Percy Harvin, Greg Jennings, Roddy White, T.J. Houshmandzadeh in the same conference for sportsbook betting.

So, by all appearances, it's a six-year deal. And at $17 million in guaranteed money, the per-year guarantee is a tepid $2.83 million per year.

There's another problem with the deal -- it has no mid-tier incentive package. Instead, the additional $8 million that Crabtree can earn (pushing the max value to six years, $40 million) requires the kind of unrealistic, mega-star performances that no rookie is likely to ever achieve.

So while the contract paid to Packers defensive tackle B.J. Raji covers five years and pays $22.5 million, he has the ability (if he's a solid player) to make up the difference between his base deal and Crabtree's five-year, $28 million haul via the mid-tier incentive package in Raji's deal.

And unless Crabtree meets the performance thresholds necessary to void the sixth year, he'll be stuck under contract for another year at a base salary of only $4 million.

There's one other area of concern with the deal. Crabtree, per the source, received no option bonus. Instead, he has significant money tied to a fairly new device known as a "discretionary salary advance," which unlike an opition bonus is subject to forfeiture if Crabtree decides in a year or two that he wants to hold out for a better deal. (We're also told that the 49ers have included language that would make certain escalators subject to forfeiture, too.)

Meanwhile, the deal falls well short of the mark for which Crabtree and agent Eugene Parker were aiming -- the five-year, $38.25 million contract paid by the Raiders to receiver Darrius Heyward-Bey, the seventh overall pick in the draft.

Even if Crabtree successfully voids the final year, he'll make more than $2 million per year less on average than Heyward-Bey.

Thus, as we explained earlier in the day, this is a deal that Crabtree could have done in July, which would have given him a much better chance of making a contribution to the 49ers during his rookie year.

So while the final outcome can be described as win-win, the broader view suggests that it's really a lose-lose situation.

NFL Betting Lines

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